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Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) – May Rally Anytime Now

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) ended the last trading session almost flat with a minor loss of 0.36%. The volume dried to 48 million against the daily average of 55 million. The market may feel excited about the possibility of a partnership of the company with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA), on the payment front.

Technically, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) can take pride from the immense price appreciation in the last decade. The 2008 bear market affected the stock like any other stocks, erasing over 60% of the stock’s valuation but it just shrugged off the disappointment in a very violent manner and rallied to $100 by 2012, an appreciation of 10 times in just 3 years! It was followed by another significant long term correction to $55 levels but that was also recovered in double quick time. The last phase of the long term rise has already taken the stock to $130 levels, which is not only a 100%+ appreciation from the last long term swing low of $55 but about 1300% return in just 5 years!


The trend of such a stock should always be assessed carefully, especially if any weakness is visible. The short term chart shows that most of the current year has been spent in a sideways range in the rough band of $120-$135, which can be taken as a bullish pause or consolidation for now. On the other hand, the entire rally in the last 1 year is perfectly contained in a long term channel, the lower boundary of which has been tested in the last few sessions. Generally such a testing signals the end of sideways phase and the beginning of a new rally. In this case, that kind of bullish sign is yet to emerge. Still, the bears would better keep an eye on the price action in the next few sessions and a tight stoploss.

Published by Steve Hackney

Steve Hackney is a corporate finance professional with over 14 years of experience in cash management and investing. He earned a Bachelor of Science in Finance from Florida State University and holds a Certified Treasury Professional certification. Steve lives in Orlando, Florida with his family.

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